We present a model of coups in autocracies. Assuming that policy choices cannot be observed but are correlated with the short-run performance of the economy we find that: (a) the threat of a coup disciplines autocrats; (b) coups are more likely in recessions; (c) increasing per capita income has an ambiguous effect on the probability
This paper estimates the cost of energy shortages to Chilean industry. The information was obtained from a sample-survey carried out shortly after the 1989 electricity restriction. The results obtained show that a 10%, one-month, equi-proportional restriction involves and average net outage cost of Usc 3.2 per kWh when a limited, selective restriction is applied. We
